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This leads to a decline in the ethanol inclusion rate (row (4)) from 9.84 percent in 2014 to 9.68 percent in 2015.

It is not surprising that the ethanol inclusion rate does not reach 10 percent due to small amounts of E0 still in use in some areas of the U. Total ethanol use (row (3)) is composed of cellulosic, other advanced, and conventional ethanol, and these projections are reported in rows (5), (6), and (7) of Table 2, respectively.

This obviously depends on the level of the E10 blend wall relative to the mandates in each year.

We focus on this important comparison in the next section.

Ethanol Mandates and the Blend Wall The data needed to analyze the "push" provided by the proposed EPA ethanol mandates for 2014-2016 are presented in Table 2.

We begin with a discussion of the data in the EPA proposal, found in the second, third, and fourth columns. These projections, found in row (1) of Table 2, are 136.49, 138.37, and 137.58 billion gallons for 2014, 2015, and 2016, respectively.

We will fight to protect and build profitable demand for corn, which is of fundamental interest to NCGA and our farmers." In light of this criticism, it is interesting to consider how the EPA characterizes the standards in the proposal: "Our proposal includes volumes of renewable fuel that will require either ethanol use at levels significantly beyond the level of the E10 blendwall, or significantly greater use of non-ethanol renewable fuels than has occurred to date, depending on how the market responds to the standards we set.The biodiesel mandate was established as a minimum of one billion gallons per year from 2012 through 2022, with larger amounts subject to EPA approval.The proposed standards announced by the EPA on May 29 are compared to statutory mandate levels in Table 1.We use the 2014 total for Brazilian imports and other advanced reported in the EPA proposal.For 2015, we increase the total to the maximum amount needed to fulfill the total advanced mandate above the sum of the biodiesel and cellulosic mandates (2.90 - 1.70 X 1.54 - 0.106 = 0.176 million gallons).




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